Last time we talked about reading the lines and spotting early-season odds movement - how sharp money and hidden information leaves fingerpr

Last time we talked about reading the lines and spotting early-season odds movement - how sharp money and hidden information leaves fingerprints on the opening number. That was about interpreting what the market is already telling you. Today, we flip the script. Instead of reading other people's odds, we are going to build our own number. A simple, transparent matchup model that anyone with a spreadsheet (or a Python notebook) can assemble from publicly available data.As of June 2026, we are deep into the European football offseason and right in the thick of major basketball free agency. That means the...